When you're trailing in a game, the best move usually requires sacrificing expectation for variance. Remarkably, coaches in both the NBA and NFL fail at applying basic math.
This is part 2 of a series about the statistics of global soccer performance, part 1 is here. A Picture with a Thousand Words on It The point of this week's post was to get to this chart, showing how good each country is at soccer independent of population and region of the world: You are … Continue reading Footballinear Socceregression
Isn't it strange that the Chinese aren't world champions in every single team sport? Here's why it's strange: China has 19% of the world's population. For individual sports that may not be a huge deal: if tennis ability and opportunity are distributed equally around the world, there would be only a 19% chance that the best … Continue reading Tails of Great Soccer Players