Making a market combines probability estimates with measures of confidence and risk. It's good practice in finance, and good practice for Bayesians.
Resolving the world feels exactly the same as creating it.
Are Rationalists just a polyamory community? And if not, what explains the connection between the two? I dig deep into the data, and reach some unexpected conclusions.
Please fill out my short research survey on the beliefs and habits of my readers. The results, along with my hypotheses, will be published on Putanumonit. The survey is anonymous, multiple-choice, and should take 5 minutes to complete. If you have any comments about the survey, feel free to post them below. Thank you! … Continue reading Short Survey on Beliefs and Habits
Discussing trauma, epistemic rationality, free will, acid, and the void with Aella.
Chatting with Aella about her background, Twitter, Jews, the homeless, LSD ranches, Inuit mythology, insecurity, and sex.
A summary with links of the first 16 posts in the Predictable Identities series.
Moving, focusing, and wondering how important is my potential.
Dealing with the gap between the pursuit of greatness and the acceptance of mediocrity.
Audience Q&A with the first couple of Effective Altruist ev psych polyamory, Diana Fleischman and Geoffrey Miller.
A guest post on the strange lives of octopuses.
Where to find Putanumonish content this July.
Extremely wide ranging interview with the first couple of Effective Altruist ev psych polyamory, Diana Fleischman and Geoffrey Miller.
Three millennia apart, the greatest works of narrative art are dominated by the character of the antihero father. Why are Odysseuses so compelling?
My podcast debut on The Switch covers thinking, feeling, arguing, and watching soccer.
An overview of low-risk ways to save up money (savings accounts, CDs, index funds...) and how much of a scam each one is.
A mythical taxonomy of real loneliness.
A cool superpower to have would be the ability to slow subjective time and get a lot of thinking done. In every superhero movie, no matter how fast the protagonists fly or how hard they punch, they always end up within one step of disaster because their planning skills are dogshit. The villain loses not … Continue reading Thinking Fast and Hard
A book about rethinking infidelity offers an opportunity to rethink modern marriage and the paradox at the heart of it.
An interview recorded with me, the person you want to read instead of listening to.
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