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effective altruism, meta, money

Power Against Poverty – Donation Update

Putanumonit has raised more than $8,000 for a trial of basic income in Africa, including reader donations and my own matching.

May 3, 2016May 19, 2017charity7 Comments
effective altruism, policy and economics

More Power, Less Poverty

A research project is going to help the world's poorest people and test a revolutionary approach to solving poverty, so you and I are going to donate a bunch of money to make it a success.

April 27, 2016January 5, 2018basic income, charity, givedirectly, poverty24 Comments
defense against the dark arts, math class

The Power of Power Skepticism

A quick estimate of experimental power can discern good science from bullshit. Too bad that some scientists forget to do it themselves.

April 17, 2016June 15, 2016science, skepticism, statistics26 Comments
money

The Bummer Economy

How my friends and I created our own currency and turned the delegation of chores into a fun mini-economy.

April 2, 2016February 28, 2017currency, economics, fiat money13 Comments
hedgehog alert, love

Love and Nice Guys

Are Nice Guys just guys who are nice? If so, why can't they get a date and what can a BDSM class teach them? And what does this all have to do with bell curves?

March 23, 2016May 17, 2017dating, feminism, Nice Guys, PUA32 Comments
model agency, policy and economics

For Whom the Bell Shifts?

Applying the central limit theorem to figure out who votes for Trump and Bernie.

March 9, 2016June 15, 2016bell curve, politics, statistics, Trump14 Comments
defense against the dark arts, model agency, sports

The Lukewarm Hand

What's worse, the hot hand fallacy or the fallacies committed by scientists researching hot hands?

March 1, 2016June 15, 2016bad statistics, hot hand fallacy, lit review, science, standard deviation, streak shooting20 Comments
love, math class

Dating: a Research Journal, Part 3

Is dating a game? It is if I can apply some game theory to figure it out.

February 20, 2016December 30, 2021game theory, selfless dating, stag hunt18 Comments
love

Dating: a Research Journal, Part 1.5

In order to get 99% match percentages on OkCupid you can launch a crazy machine learning project, or you can follow a few simple tips.

February 10, 2016June 15, 2016hacking, match percentage, OkCupid, racism17 Comments
money, Something else, sports

Super Bowl Props Extravaganza 2016

The prop betting game that will make your Super Bowl party unforgettable regardless of whether you give a crap about football.

February 4, 2016July 26, 2017gambling, prop bets, Super Bowl2 Comments
love

Dating: a Research Journal, Part 1

My journey to finding love using science and data. Part 1 - how to own online dating.

February 3, 2016February 12, 2019dating, love, OkCupid, statistics49 Comments
Something else

Republicanagrams

Can you guess the candidate?

January 29, 2016June 15, 2016anagram, elections, humor, Iowa caucus, republican4 Comments
sports

Coaching Below Expectation

When you're trailing in a game, the best move usually requires sacrificing expectation for variance. Remarkably, coaches in both the NBA and NFL fail at applying basic math.

January 23, 2016September 23, 2018coaching, math, NBA, NFL, sports6 Comments
math class, meta, money

Martin Lotto King

Some housekeeping notes and figuring out what the jackpot has to be for a positive-value lottery.

January 19, 2016June 15, 2016lottery, math, MLK, statistics13 Comments
money

Lottoptimization

On the eve of Powerball mania, some advice on making the most of lotteries (whether you play or not) using the power of math and optimism.

January 13, 2016June 15, 2016charity, lottery, math, optimization, rationality19 Comments
hedgehog alert, policy and economics, rationality

Vote Against

An evil spell is making everybody you know ignorant, hateful and irrational. Can you break it?

December 30, 2015March 15, 2018partisan, passivism, politics, rationality, statistics, tribalism, voting76 Comments
defense against the dark arts, policy and economics

I Smell a Chart

I analyze a statistics chart that manages to conclude the opposite of what the data says by making every possible error.

December 17, 2015December 8, 2016affirmative action, chart, Hispanic, lies, statistics22 Comments
effective altruism

Cost of Water

I use the data collected by a water charity to estimate to cost of providing access to water in the developing world.

December 7, 2015June 15, 2016Africa, charity, development, effective altruism, water13 Comments
model agency, sports

The Rich, the Tall and the Bees – 3 Soccer Stories

I conclude the soccer series with an exploration of a variety of things that could affect soccer level.

December 1, 2015June 15, 20168 Comments
rationality

The Other Path

The Other Path   When you ask for truth and are offered illusion, When senses deceive you and reasoning lies I'll show you the path through the murky confusion, Just follow and close your eyes.   On matters of fact, there's no fact of the matter, All moral and virtue are fashion and fad, So dress in the … Continue reading The Other Path

November 28, 2015September 30, 2019poetry, rationality1 Comment

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